The formula is out there. Anyone with a computer and too much time on their hands can do it.

The good thing for Pitt is that everyone will be taking on another loss in the last week of the season except for the conference champions.

The trouble with figuring out where New Mexico is going is that the women's selection committee's decisions are really tough to predict, and New Mexico has to fall in line behind BYU and Utah. Those teams have to get higher seeds and favorable draws close to home. New Mexico can't be in the same side of the bracket, so their destiny depends on how the selection committee views BYU and Utah.

I think New Mexico has performed far too well to fall completely out, but the loss bumped them from about a six seed down to the middle of the bracket at eight or nine, where you're lucky to win one game, much less two.

If Virginia Tech ends up number one in all six computer polls, like Texas is now, and the Longhorns are number three in the computer polls, that would make up the current gap in the human polls. That's the best-case scenario for Virginia Tech. It's not like last year when Auburn was third in the human polls and third in the computer polls.

If Virginia Tech is the only one-loss team, then they make the Sugar Bowl. Otherwise, they don't.

I'm kind of skeptical of that. They may not have the restriction, but it remains to be seen how many under-.500 teams start to show up in the tournament.

Arizona in my bracket is a 10 seed because they haven't done anything against anybody who's worth a darn. Arizona might be a 16 RPI, but their tournament prospects aren't too good. Fortunately for them, their league stinks.

The thing is, Texas is playing a decent opponent this week (No. 24 Colorado), and that will probably help Texas, at least this week. It would not surprise me if Texas fluctuates over the next few weeks.

They won't get much higher unless Memphis loses. It's hard to move up when you're already high. I don't see them moving past Duke, Connecticut or Villanova. They might have a chance to pass Memphis. It's harder to move at the end of the season.